more, and the economy could start growing again. If the government had to run up a deficit to achieve this
purpose, so be it, Keynes said. In his view, the alternative -- deepening economic decline -- would be worse.
Keynes's ideas were only partially accepted during the 1930s, but the huge boom in military spending during World
War II seemed to confirm his theories. As government spending surged, people's incomes rose, factories again
operated at full capacity, and the hardships of the Depression faded into memory. After the war, the economy
continued to be fueled by pent-up demand from families who had deferred buying homes and starting families. By the
1960s, policy-makers seemed wedded to Keynesian theories. But in retrospect, most Americans agree, the government
then made a series of mistakes in the economic policy arena that eventually led to a reexamination of fiscal
policy. After enacting a tax cut in 1964 to stimulate economic growth and reduce unemployment, President Lyndon B.
Johnson (1963-1969) and Congress launched a series of expensive domestic spending programs designed to alleviate
poverty. Johnson also increased military spending to pay for American involvement in the Vietnam War. These large
government programs, combined with strong consumer spending, pushed the demand for goods and services beyond what
the economy could produce. Wages and prices started rising. Soon, rising wages and prices fed each other in an
ever-rising cycle. Such an overall increase in prices is known as inflation. Keynes had argued that during such
periods of excess demand, the government should reduce spending or raise taxes to avert inflation. But
anti-inflation fiscal policies are difficult to sell politically, and the government resisted shifting to them.
Then, in the early 1970s, the nation was hit by a sharp rise in international oil and food prices. This posed an
acute dilemma for policy-makers. The conventional anti-inflation strategy would be to restrain demand by cutting
federal spending or raising taxes. 90
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