In the short term, stock prices can be quite volatile, and impatient investors who sell during periods of market
decline easily can suffer losses. Peter Lynch, a renowned former manager of one of America's largest stock mutual
funds, noted in 1998, for instance, that U.S. stocks had lost value in 20 of the previous 72 years. According to
Lynch, investors had to wait 15 years after the stock market crash of 1929 to see their holdings regain their lost
value. But people who held their stock 20 years or more never lost money. In an analysis prepared for the U.S.
Congress, the federal government's General Accounting Office said that in the worst 20-year period since 1926,
stock prices increased 3 percent. In the best two decades, they rose 17 percent. By contrast, 20-year bond returns,
a common investment alternative to stocks, ranged between 1 percent and 10 percent. Economists conclude from
analyses like these that small investors fare best if they can put their money into a diversified portfolio of
stocks and hold them for the long term. But some investors are willing to take risks in hopes of realizing bigger
gains in the short term. And they have devised a number of strategies for doing this.
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